Starting Nine 9/5/17
The data displayed will be from the start of this 2017 season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Jacob deGrom – The top-tier is plain and simple. Jacob deGrom gets the Phillies at home where he’s been phenomenal this season. He has no true splits so I’m not factoring the number of lefties or righties in the lineup. I hope his recent struggles get people off him just a little bit, but there isn’t any doubt in my mind that he’s the clear number one today. He’s striking out righties at 32%, good luck Hoskins, Franco, and Rupp. Lefties are a bit better against him so they only strike out 25% of the time. Swinging-strike rates live around 15% which is elite. I expect him to have run support behind him so a win is firmly in play. I’m using deGrom in all game types and not thinking twice.
Michael Wacha – For some odd reason, Carlos Martinez was at half the ownership of Trevor Bauer yesterday. Lol. Are the Padres elite all of a sudden or…? Michael Wacha gets the same matchup in the same park and should have run support behind him as well considering Travis Wood is taking the mound for the Padres. He’s $6,900 on DraftKings which is way too cheap and lets you fit any bat you want ez-ily. I feel most people will go this way after CarMart’s performance yesterday, but I don’t fade good pitching because of ownership. Michael Wacha is another pitcher who strikes out righties at a 25% clip, so guys like Margot, Myers, Pirela, Blash, and Hedges will be at a huge disadvantage. Use this combination in most of your lineups and you should be golden.
Eduardo Rodriguez – This is a tournament play only. Rodriguez has shown flashes of upside this season and here at Fenway could be one of those spots. He does have the raw stuff to get by this Toronto team who’s going to roll out all but two righties. One the season Rodriguez has actually been better against righties. He’s limited them to a .307 wOBA while striking them out at a 26% clip. The upside is clearly there as he can limit most of this order’s damage. The right-handed power issues are still there for him so he’s not a safe play, but a play that could work in tournaments and give you a leg up on the field. I don’t expect him to be owned at all which makes him even more appealing.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays and more on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!