Starting Nine 9/20/17
The data displayed will be from the start of this 2017 season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Chris Sale – Ez game ez lyf? The top pitcher for tonight’s slate is Chris Sale and it isn’t close. I’ve mentioned the struggles for Baltimore against lefties and you saw it on display against Pomeranz yesterday. Today they face one of the best lefties in the league and he should have his way against this free-swinging Orioles team. Sale has actually been better in the strikeout department against righties, striking them out at 37% on the season and we know there should be a ton of them in the lineup today. The way to get to this Baltimore team is throwing off-speed stuff early and often and Sale a great slider and changeup to mix it up on them. I also expect Sale to have run support behind him as Wade Miley takes the mound for the Orioles. I love Sale in all game types today.
Dinelson Lamet – The Diamondbacks away from Chase are still a thing. The GOAT Travis Wood has his way with this team and Dinelson Lamet is a much better pitcher than him. We’ve seen what Lamet has done to right-handed hitters this season and that should continue tonight. He’s held righties to a .236 wOBA which is ELITE while striking them out 35% of the time. I love his price tag on today’s slate where, like yesterday, I don’t have any expensive bats I want to pay up for. The combination of Sale and Lamet is extremely strong tonight which should give you a solid floor and some of the highest upside on the entire slate.
Jon Lester – Lester is the guy on the fringe tonight. I like him quite a bit, but I don’t consider him safe enough for cash games. We just saw a lefty eat this Tampa team for dinner and Lester has a chance at repeating that performance. Right-handed hitting has given Lester trouble this season but the righties in the lineup include Souza, Puello, and Bourjos who strikeout closer to 30% each. The lefties in the lineup shouldn’t be trouble for Lester who’s holding them to a .246 wOBA. I don’t think the field will be on him considering the other pitching options, but pitching in Tropicana is also a boost for him. Lester has always been a good pitcher away from home so there’s no issues when it comes to splits. It’s risky but it could pay off in a big way.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays and more on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!