Starting Nine 8/28/17
The data displayed will be from the start of this 2017 season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Max Scherzer – This one seems straight forward. If you want to pay up, you can never go wrong with Max Scherzer. He’ll face the red-hot Miami Marlins, but he’s one of the best in baseball and matchups rarely matter against him. The neck problem didn’t bother him during his bullpen session or playing catch during the week. The guys to worry about in this Marlins lineup come from the right side, a side Scherzer has dominated at an ELITE level. A .174 wOBA and striking them out about 45% of the time is insane. I’m not ruling Stanton out, but if anyone can tame this beast, it should be Scherzer. I expect Scherzer to go deep into this game, rack up a strikeout per inning, and be in line for the win as he should have run support.
Andrew Heaney – Boy, did he treat me terribly in my first time rostering him. So what do I do next? I’ll roster him again, this time on the road against Oakland. I thought Texas at home was a good matchup, but this one really is. The park shift won’t matter that much as O.co favors pitchers greatly. It also helps that this Athletics team strikes out as much as anyone in baseball. They do have power from the right side which could plague Heaney, but he strikes out right-handers at a 21% clip while showcasing a 12% swinging-strike rate. It also helps that he’s closer to minimum salary and allows you to fit in a ton of bats if you want to use a top-tier pitcher. I think he’s risky as always, but the price and upside in this matchup warrant using him in tournaments.
Jeff Samardzija – Facing the Padres in a pitcher’s park is always a recipe for success. Even though this one is on the road, Samardzija gets the best matchup of the night. The Shark has struggled with lefties on the season and that has always been his problem. The projected lineup for this Padres team has three lefties in it and also includes a pitcher. If he can navigate through the three lefties, Asuaje, Solarte, and Spangenberg who barely have power, he should perform well. I think a $9,000 price tag on DK isn’t cheap, but isn’t expensive either. I think he’s correctly priced and because of it comes in as my third favorite pitcher on the slate. I like him better for tournaments due to the strikeout matchup but not safe enough for cash given his recent struggles.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays and more on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!