Starting Nine 8/25/17
The data displayed will be from the start of this 2017 season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Rick Porcello – I have major issues and you might as well just skip this recommendation. For some reason, I play this dweeb every single slate and I can’t stop. He keeps providing 20 points every time out and sits in the $7k-$9k range. Once again, he’ll be at home where he’s been better throughout his career and face an Orioles full of free-swinging hitters. This seems like a boom or bust spot where he can strikeout a batter per inning or a spot where the Orioles continue their hot streak and force him out of the game in here innings. With pricing on some of the other pitchers, Porcello sitting at $8,600 on DraftKings seems fair especially in tournaments. As long as he keeps striking out right-handed hitters at 20%, I’ll keep rostering him.
Justin Verlander – Verlander has the best matchup on the board. He has been great this season and that should continue tonight as the White Sox are still top ten in strikeouts against right-handed pitching. Verlander has also shown no splits this season when it comes to production against both sides of the plate. Lefties are also striking out 25% against Verlander while hitting for a .308 wOBA. If I want to pay up today and use an expensive pitcher, I think Justin Verlander is the one I want. We often reference his ability to go 115 pitches on a nightly basis, and that’s huge for a top-tier pitcher with a hefty price tag.
J.A. Happ – My tournament pick will be J.A. Happ against the Twins. The Twins have been a hot offense lately, but mostly in part to great matchups and good parks. Happ hasn’t been bad at all this season and we know this Twins team loves to swing and miss. Guys like Buxton, Kepler, Garver, and Gimenez have strikeout rates approaching 30% and that bodes well for Happ who can take advantage of that. Happ has 16 K’s combined in his last two games and 31 in his last four. I also love that he should have run support behind him as Colon takes the mound against a Toronto team full of power bats. It seems like a smash spot for the Blue Jays and J.A. Happ is at the forefront. I love him in tournaments.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays and more on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!