Starting Nine 8/22/17
The data displayed will be from the start of this 2017 season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Jeff Samardzija – The Shark is on the mound today against a Milwaukee team who strikes out as much as anyone. Put Samardzija at home in one of the best pitcher’s parks in the league and we have a great fantasy option. Any time he sits in the mid-tier, he’s a very intriguing play. He gets to face a ton of righties in this Brewers lineup who he’s held to a .296 wOBA while striking them out at 23%. The upside is there, he brings a floor, and is priced well enough that if he gives up a run or two he could still outperform his salary. I love Samardzija in all game types.
Chris Archer – Chris Archer at home has been automatic since he came into the league. Tropicana is a great pitcher’s park but Archer specifically excels here. He’s allowed a .284 wOBA at home as opposed to a .312 on the road, and get a Toronto team full of free-swingers. Guys like Donaldson, Bautista, Smoke, and Lopez are great hitters but strikeout a ton as well. Archer has dominated righties this season as well, punching out almost one in every three right-handed hitters. With the righty-heavy lineup I expect from the Blue Jays, and the effects this park has on Archer, I expect him to have a great outing and compete for the highest pitching score on the slate.
Ricky Nolasco – LOL 71%? He’s back! Nolasco gets the Rangers at home where most of their homerun power should be negated. Nolasco is never priced higher than $6k making him a great pitcher to pair with some of the top-tier options. I’ve gone over the strikeout rates for these Rangers numerous times and that won’t change today. The absence of Gallo also means there is one less hitter to be afraid of. Nolasco is another pitcher that will throw an abundance of breaking balls and yesterday I went over the Rangers struggles against curveballs. I expect Nolasco to pitch well and pay off his salary fairly easily. He also lets me play around with my bats and I love a night where I can go off the board with my hitters.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays and more on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!