Starting Nine 8/14/17
The data displayed will be from the start of this 2017 season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Jerad Eickhoff – What a day to be back. Somehow, I’m getting a ton of Eickhoff and for some reason it doesn’t feel that bad. He’ll get one of the better matchups in all of baseball, coming off a game where he had a 15% swinging-strike rate. If there is ever a game to keep up your good pitching it would be this one. The Padres are still third in the league when it comes to strikeout percentage against right-handed pitching. The pitching slate as a whole seems terrible and make it difficult to trust one pitcher tonight, but I think Eickhoff would be my guy. Guys like Meyers, Renfroe, Hedges, Coleman all have close to 30% strikeout rates or higher. You add the pitcher in the lineup and some decent run support against Travis Wood and Eickhoff should be in good shape.
Zack Greinke – This is going to be a slate where you’re going to have to make tough choices. I hate targeting the Astros, especially in a good park like Chase, but Greinke has been dominant at home. He finally picked up his first loss at home where he still pitched great and just got outpitched by Alex Wood. I’m not sure many people are thinking of paying a top-tier priced for a pitcher in one of the worst matchups in the league. I think Greinke’s stuff is that good that I’m willing to roll him out in tournaments hoping for low ownership. Most of the pitchers going tonight have a bad matchup anyway, so this I don’t mind this for Greinke. I’m also expecting most of the field to pay up for bats, so this seems like a great way to get some differentiation. Tournaments only.
Jose Quintana – Quintana is another tournament play for me trying to achieve the same differentiation I explained above. It’s a much better matchup than Greinke’s but he’s also more expensive. Some of the swinging-strike numbers in a few of his last starts are worrisome, but he’s still putting guys away when he has them on two strikes. On the season, he has a 25% strikeout rate against righties and he should face a ton of them today. If he can leave Hamilton off the base paths he should do fine. I also love when pitchers will face an opposing team’s pitcher in the lineup and similar to Eickhoff, he should have run support behind him as well. Picking two pitchers seem tough today and going a little off the board can give you a huge edge in large-field tournaments.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays and more on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!