Starting Nine 8/10/17
The data displayed will be from the start of this 2017 season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Yu Darvish – Darvish looked incredible in his Dodgers debut as he went seven shutout innings while racking up ten strikeouts. His swinging-strike rate was 16% in that game while throwing 80% first-pitch strikes. The change has made Darvish a much better pitcher and is leading me towards using him even in a tough matchup. I dislike using pitchers in Chase Field except when I have complete confidence in the pitcher and Darvish seems like that guy. The Diamondbacks have been great at home this season, making Darvish a risky cash play, but in tournaments I think people will shy away. Lefties have been a problem for him this season, but he’s still striking them out closer to 30%. The upside is here with Darvish and if people aren’t going to use him, I’ll gladly take him.
Jacob deGrom – This could be the day where I use two studs once again. I love this spot for deGrom who ran into some trouble last start, but now faces one of the worst offenses in the league. Newcomb, despite all his struggles, looked good against this team and there’s no reason deGrom shouldn’t destroy them. The swinging strike stuff was still present last start so nothing is wrong with deGrom. I expect him to strikeout a batter per inning at least, and be firmly in line for the win. Even with the decent number of lefties that should be in the lineup for the Phillies, deGrom should still rack up the strikeouts. He’s K’d lefties at a 25% clip this season while holding them to a below-average wOBA. There is nothing to fear today with deGrom as I like him in all game types.
Chris Smith – Don’t judge me, please. I need a cheap pitcher for the lineups I want to pay up for hitting and Chris Smith is the guy I’ve landed on. I don’t necessarily believe in his stuff, but he gets the job done. He’s had double digit swinging-strike rate games at home this season and gets a team that really struggles against off-speed stuff. Looking at pitch values for the Orioles, most of these guys struggle against changeups and curveballs which are the primary pitches for Chris Smith. I’m not saying he’s going to dominate, but Baltimore shifting to a negative park is not something I’d be scared of. I like the price tag on Smith and I’m willing to bet he can pay it off in tournaments. It’s mostly a price play, but one that I think could leave you sitting pretty in tournaments.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!