Starting Nine 7/28/17
The data displayed will be from the start of this 2017 season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Danny Salazar – The White Sox have returned to the top of my list of teams to target with starting pitching. The Cubs destroyed them in their set of games, including three right-handed pitchers that were struggling on the season (Hendricks, Lackey, Arrieta). Now Salazar gets the task of facing a White Sox team that has looked horrendous since the departure of Frazier. Salazar has been elite vs. right-handed hitting and his weakness is lefty power. None of the lefties in the projected lineup showcases any power outside of some pop from Moncada. Salazar should have a solid outing here and is still priced under $10k on DraftKings. It also helps that Holland is on the other side which should give up quite a few runs to the Indians. I love Salazar in all game types tonight.
Masahiro Tanaka – The Tampa Bay Rays will make me consider any pitcher on any given day. There is no doubt Tanaka has underperformed this season but some of the underlying numbers still look find. Velocity and movement are still good enough to where he should have success. Tanaka still has about a 15% swinging strike rate against both sides of the plate which is great. We know how much this Rays team swings and misses and Tanaka could definitely take advantage of that. The first two matchups against this team were in Tropicana, and even though it is a pitcher’s park, Tanaka has struggled on the road this season while providing better results in Yankee Stadium. I love Tanaka at a mid-tier price when the upside is evident. His strikeout stuff is too good to pass up at just $7,800.
Robbie Ray – My tournament option of the night will be, Robbie Ray? I don’t think anyone in this planet ever considers Robbie Ray as a risky tournament option, but he fits that bill for me today. I put him in this category for a few reasons, he should be one of the higher owned pitchers on the slate. He has been outstanding on the road away from Chase Field, and he’s finally under the $10k threshold. This is just way too cheap for a pitcher of his caliber with the strikeout upside he possesses. The problem is, he should face a good number of righties with power. He could very well strikeout 10 in this game, but there is also a good probability that he could allow a HR or two and maybe run into a long inning. The only lefty in the projected lineup today is Matt Carpenter who strikes out just 18% against lefties. While many consider Robbie Ray a cash option who’s safe on a nightly basis, I think there is some danger in this lineup making him a tournament play for me tonight.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays and more on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!