Starting Nine 7/25/17
The data displayed will be from the start of this 2017 season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Jacob Faria – Blake Snell looked good yesterday against the Orioles and that success can continue today for Jacob Faria. Obviously, this park heavily favors pitchers but Faria has been great so far at home, allowing just 5 runs in his 18 home innings. We know about Baltimore’s struggles against off-speed pitches and Faria has great ones. His slider has limited hitters to a .158 average and the has neutralized them to a .178 average. The great deal of righty power should also get negated by Faria who showcases a 25% K-rate against righties while limiting them to a .140 ISO. Faria on the surface seems expensive at $8.5k on Draftkings but it does seem reasonable considering his upside. I’m fine with Faria in all game types.
Madison Bumgarner – Many are quickly going to say that he’s not right after his first two starts and that the strikeout stuff isn’t sharp. He had back to back starts against San Diego coming off the injury and in his six total starts this season, he’s faced the Padres three times. I have no issue trusting Bumgarner here who is fully stretched out and gets a good matchup against the Pirates. The Pirates should roll out mostly righties in their lineup but that can work to Bumgarners favor as he strikes them out at 23%. There are a ton of viable pitchers in the mid-range that can let you afford the top-tier bats so I don’t know if ownership will be through the roof on Bumgarner. If you want to pay up, Bumgarner is my guy.
Jordan Montgomery – Montgomery is coming off two rough outings against the Twins and the Red Sox and this should lower his ownership. Montgomery has been the type of pitcher to flash upside from time to time, but hasn’t put it all together. This could be that game for him. Cincinnati didn’t look good against Tomlin yesterday and struck out a ton. The numbers against lefties don’t look good for the Reds either. Guys like Hamilton, Suarez, Gennett, Mesoraco, and Kivlehan all strikeout close to 25% or higher. This could be a spot where Montgomery strikes out a batter per inning while giving up a run or two and be firmly in line for the win. There’s always risk when you’re pitching in Yankee Stadium, but I like his chances here to outperform his salary. I love Montgomery in tournaments today.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays and more on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!