Starting Nine – 5/3/17
The data displayed will be a combination of 2016 and the start of this 2017 season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Jake Arrieta – The top arm of the night belongs to Jake Arrieta. He gets one of the best matchups in baseball for a right-hander. The Phillies are projected to roll out just three hitters who hit right-handers at an above-average rate. It also helps that Arrieta limits right-handed hitting to about a .260 wOBA and a .126 ISO which is elite. This has the making of a complete game shutout for Arrieta who should get back on track with this start. He struggled last time out against the Red Sox in Fenway but that’s one of the hardest matchups in all of baseball. Arrieta will be in most my lineups and is suitable for all game types.
Adam Wainwright – We just saw Carlos Martinez dominate this team, going seven strong with no earned runs while picking up the victory. Wainwright can do the same at an even cheaper price tag. Wainwright tends to struggle against lefties, but this lineup is projected to showcase just three lefties. If Wainwright can work his way through Villar, Thames, and Shaw, he should have one of the better point-per-dollar performances on the night. Right-handed hitters haven’t don’t much against Wainwright dating back to last year (.323 wOBA) and this Brewers lineup should have a bunch of below average righties in the lineup including a pitcher. I like Wainwright as a strong tournament SP2 option.
Drew Pomeranz – The lefty dominance against the Orioles continued yesterday. Sale delivered yet another stellar performance and the Orioles don’t seem to have an answer to left-handed pitching. Pomeranz takes the hill against the O’s and although he’s not Chris Sale, he should have some success against this Orioles team who struggles to hit the off-speed stuff. Pomeranz has been great against righties, holding them to a .294 wOBA while striking them out at about a 28% clip. Even though the park is a concern, the strikeout matchup is great and provides the upside we’re looking for in tournaments.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays and more on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!
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