Starting Nine 5/23/17
The data displayed will be from the start of this 2017 season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Matt Harvey – I feel like I’m the only one who pitches this guy, so disregard this pick. Harvey gets the Padres which can’t hit any pitcher in the league and are 2nd in strikeouts vs. right-handed pitching. The Padres projected lineup has five guys who can strikeout multiple times (including the pitcher) and that should bode well for Harvey who could use a good outing. Harvey’s problem has been his control, but the Padres showcase one of the highest O-swing% on the slate which should help Harvey. I also have the Mets as decent favorites here, so $6,500 on DraftKings for Harvey doesn’t seem like much.
Rick Porcello – Porcello should be pitching better than his numbers indicate. He’s not walking anyone, pounding the zone, and going deep into games. This is a perfect bounce back spot for Porcello who will be at home against a Rangers team whose best hitters are from the left side. Porcello continues to do well against lefties, limiting them to a .325 wOBA and striking them out at 23% this year. I’ve targeted this Rangers team in certain spots this year and I’ll do it again tonight. Porcello hovers around the $10k mark usually, so $8,500 seems like a bargain for a pitcher who can go eight innings.
German Marquez – The young guys for the Rockies have been impressive this year. Hoffman pitched a gem yesterday and we could see the same from Marquez today. The Phillies are in the top ten in strikeouts vs. right-handed pitching this year, and Marquez has been phenomenal this year. The Phillies should roll out five hitters who could strikeout multiple times and a pitcher spot who could serve as a way to get out of innings tonight if Marquez runs into trouble. The only weak spot I see in this matchup is the power from the right side. Even though Marquez has been good against righties, he does give up the long ball as his ISO vs. righties is sitting at .226 which is concerning. If he can avoid a HR from Franco, Altherr, or Joseph, he should cruise and pay off his salary.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays and more on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!
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