Starting Nine 5/17/17
The data displayed will continue to be from the 2016 season until we get a big enough sample size this season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Matt Shoemaker – Shoemaker finally delivered a good performance last time out and looking at the statistics would suggest he’s tweaked some things. The splitter was working and that’s what made him a great DFS option last year. He generated eight swings and misses with this pitch last time out in what was a tough matchup. Today he’ll face the White Sox which I have mentioned are league worst in a bunch of categories. If Shoemaker has all his pitches working again tonight, there is no way he doesn’t go seven innings at a minimum while striking out a batter per inning.
Jhoulys Chacin – Chacin is in the majors due to his effectiveness against right-handed hitters. Dating back to last year, Chacin is limiting them to a .311 wOBA which is okay, but striking them out at about 24%. We already know that the Brewers roll out a ton of righties. If Chacin can work his way around Villar, Thames, and Shaw, it should be smooth sailing. I also like that he gets a pitcher in this lineup which could work as a free out or strikeout in his case. He’s priced at $7,100 on DraftKings, a price I’m not sure many people want to pay up for, but due to pricing on the hitters, he seems like perfect option for me.
Gerrit Cole – The same success Chacin has had against righties can be said about Gerrit Cole. He’s even better, limiting them to a .292 wOBA even though the strikeout percentage is a little lower due to last season’s injuries. If we look at this season’s numbers, Cole has been much better in the strikeout department, striking out righties at about 22% and lefties at about 24%. The velocity is healthy in every start as he sits 4th in average velocity this season. Cole is fully healthy and his pitching arsenal looks better than ever. With only two or three lefties in the projected lineup, it’s fair to say Cole can have a dominant outing and shut down this top five offense.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays and more on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!
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