Starting Nine 5/15/17
The data displayed will be a combination of 2016 and the start of this 2017 season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Jesse Chavez – Chavez has held his own this season and has actually posted solid numbers. I’d consider him a better real life pitcher than a DFS one, but we can’t deny that he’s in a great spot tonight. He’ll pitch at home in one of the most pitcher-friendly ballparks in the league. The White Sox have been awful against right-handed pitching, at times running out six hitters who are below-average against righties. Chavez strikes out righties at about 22% and the White Sox will also help in that department as they are 5th in K% against righties this season. In what seems to be a dicey pitching slate, I think Chavez is one of the highest point-per-dollar pitching plays on the slate.
Luis Perdomo – Perdomo will also be an elite point-per-dollar play tonight. He’ll be at home in a pitcher-friendly park as well where he’ll face a strikeout-happy Brewers team. The Brewers will again be without Ryan Braun and run out an offense who’s starting to stall just a bit. Thames has cooled off since the beginning of the season and the absence of Braun has his plate appearances a little more difficult. The Brewers are third in the league in K% against righties and that plays well into Perdomo’s favor. At just $6,600 on DK, Perdomo makes one of the best plays on DK that allows you to fit in all the top bats.
Sean Manaea – This might be one of baseball’s best hidden secrets. Sean Manaea was the number one pitching prospect in the A’s organization for a while before getting called up last season and he hasn’t disappointed. If it wasn’t for a shoulder strain this season keeping him sidelined, he might be leading the league in a ton of categories. Despite his tough run of matchups, he’s leading the league in whiffs-per-swing on his slider (not qualified) and he’s top five on his changeup. The guy can pitch. Righties are barely hitting for average against him (.322 wOBA), while lefties have been close to useless against Manaea (.231 wOBA). If he can tame Cruz and Segura, there’s no way he doesn’t go deep into this game and provide a solid DFS outing.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays and more on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!
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