Starting Nine – 4/27/17
The data displayed will continue to be from the 2016 season until we get a big enough sample size this season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots for today’s games.
Carlos Martinez – Plain and simple, Carlos Martinez has one of the best matchups early on this season. Toronto can’t hit at all so far and Carlos Martinez is still a force to fear. The strikeout numbers will always be there for Martinez. Dating back to last season, he’s struck out right-handers at a 25% clip. He’s at home today facing a struggling Blue Jays team whose best hitters come from the right side. An American League team playing in a National League park will also be forced to put a pitcher in their lineup. All things are pointing to a great outing for Carlos Martinez.
Corey Kluber – Just like I mentioned on the podcast, the studs in the early slate are the way to go. I usually load up on bats and take a point-per-dollar approach at pitcher, and I still find myself using all the studs. Kluber will also face a righty-dominant Houston team that should have a hard time seeing him well. Kluber is a bit better than Martinez when it comes to strikeout numbers. He’s striking out righties at closer to 30%! Facing Mike Fiers at home, Kluber should also be in line for the win here as I have Cleveland with a 60% chance to win. Kluber makes another solid option.
Matt Harvey – Matt Harvey has surprised all of us this season. We knew about his velocity early during spring training but he has made an adjustment to throw more off-speed stuff. The change in approach has him pitching well to start the season and has a decent chance and continuing that today. Atlanta is a tough matchup on paper due to their plate discipline and lack of strikeouts. If we get the Harvey we’ve been seeing this season, he could work around most of this Atlanta lineup. It’s a case where I want Harvey in some lineups but I want Atlanta bats as well to hedge the Harvey shares.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!
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