Starting Nine 4/24/17
The data displayed will continue to be from the 2016 season until we get a big enough sample size this season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Amir Garrett – The guy has been good. The Milwaukee Brewers have been a tough team to target this season and have lost me money more times than not. The Brewers heater might be cooling off just a bit as Lynn pitched a gem against them last time out. As a matter of fact, the Brewers have continued to strikeout against lefties at a large rate this season despite their success. Using this year’s small sample size, guys like Villar, Thames, Santana, Broxton, and Arcia have 25% k-rates or higher. Although Garrett can get lit up here in a hitter-friendly park, the upside is there with the strikeouts.
Jesse Chavez – Chavez threw 25 pitches just three days ago in an extra innings game where he allowed the game winning homerun to Jose Bautista. I’m assuming this is like a bullpen session for him and he should be good to go today with no limitations. I love that he’s pitching at home, one of the friendliest parks for pitchers against a team that hasn’t been hitting well to start the season. Chavez is underrated by every metric I look at and should be in for another nice outing here. He’s priced the same as Garrett, but when everyone is cheap and lets you afford Coors bats, it doesn’t matter much.
Chris Archer – This isn’t a play I’m excited about, but Archer offers the most raw talent on the slate. He’s pitched decent this season but draws a tough matchup here against Baltimore who hit’s right-handers very well. This is more of a way to spend the salary if you’re not using Coors, but the consensus here is that he’s in a tough matchup. The strikeouts give us a high floor, like what he’s done to start the season. On a slate with these type of pitching options, that should be just fine.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays and more on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!
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