MLB Starting Nine – 4/07/17
The data displayed will continue to be from the 2016 season until we get a big enough sample size this season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Derek Holland – With pitching being so bad on the slate, I’ll gladly save as much as possible and load up on bats. This is usually my strategy regardless of the slate, but tonight’s arms make it that better of a strategy. Holland is a price play that comes with a bit of upside. The Twins are significantly worse against lefties than they are righties. Guys like Buxton, Sano, Kepler, Polanco, Castro, and Rosario all have huge strikeout rates against left-handed pitchers. Besides Grossman and Mauer, there is a solid chance that every single Twin in this lineup can strikeout. It also helps that his dirt-cheap price tag doesn’t require a huge game from him.
Francisco Liriano – We know how wild he can be at times, but that’s because he tries to strikeout every hitter. He will be the most popular pitcher on the slate because of his matchup with Tampa Bay so roster at your own risk. It’s simple, Tampa’s strikeout rates are through the roof while Liriano is striking out both sides of the plate at about 23%. There’s tons of upside here with Liriano and for sure my number one cash game play, but I’m not opposed to looking elsewhere in tournaments as I think bats will win your tournaments tonight.
Jesse Chavez – I’m almost positive I didn’t roster Chavez or Holland all of last year but that proves how bad tonight’s slate is. This is another price play that faces an okay Mariners team who’s traveling to a pitcher friendly ballpark. We saw the Houston pitchers have success against this team and Chavez could do the same. Besides the first four hitters in this lineup, Chavez should have decent matchups the rest of the way. Like Liriano, Chavez showcases a strikeout rate closer to 23% and faces guys like Zunino, Martin, Valencia, and Cruz who could all strikeout multiple times. Hopefully he can go six innings of one or two run ball while striking out a few batters each time through the lineup. I like Chavez as a guy who won’t implode on me tonight and will help me pay for the stud bats I want.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I’ll confirm these plays on the show later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!
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