MLB Starting Nine – 4/06/17 

Starting Nine 4/6/17

The data displayed will continue to be from the 2016 season until we get a big enough sample size this season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.

Brandon McCarthy – For the early part of this season, targeting the Padres has been a profitable strategy. McCarthy was lethal against righties last year and if the same holds true this season, he should have an easy time against this Padres team. Right-handed hitters were limited to a .274 wOBA while showcasing a .098 ISO. Yes, .098! He induces tons of soft contact which is perfect against this team. Although his sample sizes from 2016 aren’t huge, the strikeout numbers look solid as well. There’s no one to pay up for on this slate, and McCarthy seems like a safe option with a nice floor in this matchup.

Tyler Skaggs – This first few slates of the season have had us avoiding the A’s as they barely strikeout. This isn’t true against left-handed pitching and a good pitcher in Tyler Skaggs. Skaggs has been known throughout his career for his strikeout upside and this is a sneaky matchup here. He strikes out right-handed batters at a much better rate than he does left-handed hitters (25%). Guys like Rajai Davis, Khris Davis, Mark Canha, Trevor Plouffe, even Adam Rosales who’s projected to be in the starting lineup, all strikeout at high rates against left-handed pitching. This is a boom or bust play, but one that could prove to be worthy in tournaments. I’ll have my fair share of Skaggs on this slate because he has a path to being the highest scoring pitcher on the slate.

Kyle Gibson – The slate is ugly. I wouldn’t ever recommend Gibson if the slate wasn’t this bad. The facts are this; the Royals are bad. The projected lineup hit .294 against righties last season and hits for virtually no power. You won’t find good strikeout numbers from Gibson, but when a lineup features Gordon, Moss, and Mondesi, strikeouts will come naturally. This is a price play and one that will help you afford extra studs in your lineup. You’re looking to make up the pitching points with good hitter in good spots.

Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I’ll confirm these plays as lineups come out. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Good luck this afternoon. Till next time, party animals!

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