MLB Starting Nine – 4/11/17
The data displayed will continue to be from the 2016 season until we get a big enough sample size this season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots for today’s games.
J.A. Happ – Surprisingly, Happ struck out more righties than lefties last year while making them swing and miss a little more as well. We know this is one of the best strikeout matchups in the MLB, but we need pitchers who can take advantage of that and Happ fits the bill. It also helps when guys like Villar, Broxton, Santana and Shaw all strikeout closer to 30% against lefties. Even with Coors on the slate, you can easily fit in Happ while loading up your lineups with stud bats. If you factor in point-per-dollar, Happ must be amongst the best on the slate.
Drew Pomeranz – This is another underrated lefty who gets a sneaky good matchup in the Orioles. If you remember from last year, the Orioles do a lot better against right-handed pitchers. This is also another scenario where a left-handed pitcher strikes out righties more than he does lefties. Pomeranz is elite in that category where he strikes out right-handed batters at a 28% clip. Looking at the chart, we can also see that guys like Trumbo, Davis, Mancini, and Schoop all strikeout close to 30% against left-handers. He’s cheaper than Happ and has an equal amount of upside. Both make the top of my list when talking about tournaments plays.
Clay Buchholz – My third pitcher is usually one I use as salary relief. Tonight, that guy will be Clay Buccholz who goes against a Mets team who’s struggling to light up right handed pitching. We look at the raw numbers, see that Buchholz struggles against lefties and Mets hitters lit up right-handers last season, and most people will flock to the Mets hitters. This is just a price play but we saw what Eickhoff was able to do yesterday and he’s equally as bad against lefties. If I want to fit in all the Coors bats along with other studs, Buchholz will be the one helping me do that. It’s a risky play, but one that could pay off if he eats up some innings.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!
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