MLB Starting Nine – 4/10/17

The data displayed will continue to be from the 2016 season until we get a big enough sample size this season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots for today’s games.

Chris Sale – We must take what the slate gives us, and paying up for pitching doesn’t stop us from rostering the bats we want. Detroit is rolling out nine righties which isn’t a bad thing. Sale limited right-handed batters to a .290 wOBA and struck them out at about 25%. It helps that guys in this lineup like Castellanos, Upton, Jones, and McCann all strikeout 30% or more against southpaws. Chris Sale has arguably the most upside on the slate, and if he’s not making us sacrifice with our bats, there’s no reason we shouldn’t be rostering him.

Michael Pineda – We have reached round two between these two teams. We all know what happened to Pineda that first game and here’s a good shot to redeem himself at home. It won’t get much better as his home numbers were worse last year specially pitching in a hitter-friendly park. What we can’t do is deny that this is a great strikeout matchup yet again. He’s facing a similar lineup with guys like Norris, Beckham, and Souza who strikeout in over 30% of their at-bats vs. right-handed pitching. We’re paying for upside with Pineda as he can rack them up in bunches. Let’s just pray that it goes better this time around.

Justin Verlander – No cheap pitcher coming out of this article today as there isn’t a need for them. Justin Verlander has been one of the best pitchers in baseball the last year or so and that continued in his first start. This isn’t the best matchup for him as Boston rarely strikes out dating back to last year, limiting his upside. Even with that said, Verlander is in play off sheer talent where he can go up against anyone and rack up ten strikeouts. We are mostly paying for a floor in this matchup as a true ceiling game seems a little farfetched, but with how the slate is playing out, a floor from Verlander is perfectly fine.

Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!

 

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