MLB Pitching Prognostication 9/21/16 (Late)
All pricing is DraftKings unless otherwise stated
Each series, for the most part, has been dictated by the first game. That’s a statement I’ve always stood by and one that is holding true once again. When your team has been dominated by Clayton Richard and Paul Clemens on back to back nights, you should always keep that statement in mind. Let’s get to tonight’s games.
Zack Greinke – ARI at SD – $8,300
RHP Zack Greinke has been a forgotten soul this season, primarily due to pitching in Chase Field so often. Today we get him in one of the best pitchers parks (Petco) and he faces one of the worst hitting teams in the league. The Padres are still the Padres, striking out at about 25% vs. right-handed pitchers. Want to confirm my theory? The Padres barely beat Shipley on Monday and barely won yesterday against Bradley, who had seven strikeouts. If this continues, Greinke should have a nice night and provide great value in tournaments.
Luis Perdomo – SD vs. ARI – $6,300
The Diamondbacks got dominated once again, this time by Cy Young frontrunner Paul Clemens. RHP Luis Perdomo is arguably the Padres’ best arm right now and should be able to perform against a struggling Arizona team. The projected lineup strikes out at 21% and will include a pitcher as an easy out for Perdomo. We’ve seen that you have to hit Stanton-like homeruns to take them out of here and that’s tough considering Perdomo sports a .150 ISO vs. right-handed hitters. Perdomo should go deep into this game like his teammates did and provide value in tournaments.
John Lackey – CHC vs. CIN – $8,800
The Cubs have nothing to play for, but their pitchers keep performing at a high level. It’s also worth noting that all their starters have gone close to 100 pitches and haven’t been pulled early. RHP John Lackey should perform just like Hammel and Lester did in the first two games. Cincinnati is having a hard time hitting in this series and that should continue tonight. Lackey has held righties to a .265 wOBA on the year and that’s important considering the Reds’ projected lineup has six right-handed hitters. Lackey makes for a strong option in any game time and should be rolled out with confidence.
Corey Kluber – CLE vs. KC – $11,900
RHP Corey Kluber is officially on his own now that Carrasco and Salazar are done for the season. Today he’ll face a Royals team that couldn’t get it going against Josh Tomlin yesterday, giving this game the Manny Stamp of Approval. Although this Royals team doesn’t strike out much on the surface, only one batter hits righties at above league average. It’s safe to say the team lacks hitting in a big way. Kluber has had great stuff all year and today marks one of the easier matchups he’s had in a while.
The mid-tier appears pretty strong today and seems like a viable way to go in tournaments. Rostering guys like Greinke and Lackey together provides you with tons of upside and the ability to load up on power bats. If you’re interested in rostering one of the top-tier arms, Perdomo makes a great pairing while not depleting your salary cap. I’ll be having exposure to both pairings according to the stack I’m using. If things change, I’ll make sure to state the adjustments on the ‘Deeper Dive’ later today. Till next time, party animals!