MLB Pitching Prognostication 9/19/16
All pricing is DraftKings unless otherwise stated
Boy, what an end to a crazy week. Completely crushed MLB this last week, and ended perfectly with Stefon Diggs destroying the Packers on Sunday Night Football. We’ll get back on the grind here with some arms that can help you take down GPPs in MLB. Let’s get to it!
Clayton Richards – SD vs. ARI – $4,000
LHP Clayton Richards is a frequent flyer on this list and he’s made his return again. This time he faces the Diamondbacks who scored an abundance of runs in Chase Field this last week. They will play in San Diego so the park shift will help Richards here. The projected lineup will strikeout at a rate just over 21% and gives Richards a chance to outperform his minimum price tag. If you need a cheap pairing for one of the top arms, Richards might fit that bill.
Jharel Cotton – OAK vs. HOU – $5,900
I think I feel more comfortable rolling out Richards as the price is a bit more attractive, but I also can’t deny this matchup is enticing. RHP Jharel Cotton struggles at times racking up the strikeouts but Houston should naturally help in that department. The projected lineup features hitters with strikeout rates near 30%. It also helps that Cotton can go deep into games, as he’s pitched over 100 pitches in both his starts. If he can approach that threshold again in this game and manage to strikeout a batter per inning, Cotton will definitely make you happy in tournaments.
Noah Syndergaard – NYM vs. ATL – $11,600
Well, you know how I feel about aces. I don’t necessarily hate paying up in tournaments, I just hate getting sucked into a play judging on talent. I also have in mind that we tend to fade top-tier arms against the Braves, as we know they have low strikeout rates and muscle tough at-bats. With all this being said, my numbers somehow look great for RHP Noah Syndergaard in this matchup. He’s been one of the best pitchers in baseball his last five starts, and has gone seven or more innings in four of those outings. Another thing to note in this matchup is that Atlanta has made some September call-ups and could start tinkering with their lineup sooner than later. You can see me final decision on the ‘Deeper Dive’ later today, but things are trending in the right direction for Thor.
Jason Hammel – CHC vs. CIN – $7,700
Hammel has been up and down all year and lately that’s been the case as well. With the Cubs being -230 favorites at home today, Hammel makes a great play in tournaments and cash games. Although the Reds have been swinging a better bat lately, they do have strikeouts in their lineup. Guys like Duvall, Suarez, and Schebler all strikeout over 20% of the time against right-handed pitching. Add a pitcher in the lineup and Hammel could be in for a nice night. If he can manage to stay in the game for six innings or longer, Hammel will be worth it in tournaments.
Pitching doesn’t seem hard today, but doesn’t seem easy either. As of now, I don’t mind spending up and paying for Syndergaard only because I like some cheap options that I can pair with him. Even while prioritizing bats, it looks like I can use that combination at pitching and have massive upside to take down tournaments. For those that say I never pay up at pitching, tonight might be one of those days. Tune in to the ‘Deeper Dive’ to find out. Till next time, party animals!