MLB Pitching Prognostication 9/16/16
All pricing is DraftKings unless otherwise stated
Every day this week has been a green one, and we shoot for our 5th in a row tonight. Some of the top arms today have tough matchups and can be a trap in tournaments. Let’s dive into the slate and find four solid pitchers who can provide upside tonight!
Felix Hernandez – SEA vs. HOU – $8,000
I’m not the biggest fan of King Felix, as it’s evident he’s on a steep decline at this point in his career. With that being said, the price and matchup are just right and he should be considered in tournaments. The Houston Astros suffered two big losses last game in Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman who both had to leave the game with injuries. Assuming those two don’t make the lineup tonight, RHP Felix Hernandez will have one of the best matchups on the slate. This should insert A.J. Reed and Jason Castro as starters which should be strikeouts galore. King Felix should go deep into this one and be in line for the win.
Cole Hamels – TEX vs. OAK – $9,300
With three mediocre starts in a row, LHP Cole Hamels has seen a slight decline in his pricing. Although this matchup is in a tough ballpark in Arlington, Hamels has proven he has top-tier stuff and can anchor a pitching staff. Oakland on the other hand, just had a great series in Kansas City and is coming into this matchup swinging a hot bat. With all this being said, Oakland will feature a combine strikeout rate over 20%, against a pitcher who strikes out right-handers at 25%. Look for Hamels to go deep into the game and rack up strikeouts at a nice rate.
Ian Kennedy – KC vs. CWS – $8,400
It’s fair to say the field likes Ian Kennedy a lot more than I do as a pitcher. I can’t deny this is a juicy lineup for the strike thrower. The projected White Sox lineup should strikeout at about 24%, which is decent considering that’s Kennedy’s forte. At just $8,400, Ian Kennedy can rack up a strikeout per inning and have a shot at 3x which will leave us sitting pretty in tournaments. Guys like Anderson, Frazier, Garcia, and Sanchez all have potential to strikeout multiple times and could leave Kennedy to a strong outing.
Bartolo Colon – NYM vs. MIN – $7,700
This is a deep play in tournaments and not among the top of my list. Minnesota will lose a DH here and should provide RHP Bartolo Colon with a decent shot at value. He’s not the highest strikeout guy to begin with, but it doesn’t mean he can’t rack up strikeouts against a free swinging Twins team. If guys like Sano, Buxton, Rosario, and Vargas are in the lineup, I’ll have a lot of interest in Colon tonight. Not to mention, a pitcher in the lineup always helps when you run into trouble during a game. Bartolo is a decent low-owned option in tournaments tonight.
As of right now, I have Scherzer slightly ahead of Kluber in raw points but prefer Kluber in tournaments. That could change when lineups start coming out and mix things up. If you have a low-cost option you feel comfortable with, feel free to pair them with the top-tier pitcher you like the most. I’m entertaining the idea of rostering two mid-tier pitchers and loading up on bats for the upside. Ownership doesn’t seem like a problem today, so nothing to worry about in that regard. Make sure to tune into the ‘Deeper Dive’ as I analyze the starting lineups and give definitive opinions on each starting pitcher. Till next time, party animals!