MLB Deep Dive 10/04/16 by DraftCheat
In the MLB Deep Dive, Peter Christensen (aka DraftCheat) brings you the most hard hitting, in-depth, MLB DFS analysis available in the industry today! Be sure to check out his thoughts on the days slate before you set your lineups and remember… it’s “Analysis so good… it feels like cheating!”
MLB Quick Thoughts
Tonight’s two-game slate features the Giants @ Mets and the Orioles @ Blue Jays in two win-or-go-home games. The two games themselves could not be much different as we get two aces squaring off against two relatively weak offenses in New York with Madison Bumgarner taking on Noah Syndergaard in what projects to be a fantastic pitcher’s duel, while the solid-but-unspectacular Marcus Stroman takes on Chris Tillman in Toronto in an environment that favors hitters. On two pitcher sites like DraftKings, its obvious everyone will want to roster both Bumgarner and Syndergaard while stacking hitters from the Orioles and Blue Jays, and frankly that’s pretty easy to do with the salaries. Certainly if you are playing cash games that is the approach you should take, but in GPPs perhaps a different approach will be more profitable in the long run as we look to differentiate ourselves from the masses who will all be thinking the same way.
My tournament advice for tonight’s slate? Noah Syndergaard and Marcus Stroman. I think more people will be on Bumgarner given his track record of post-season success, but I don’t expect Syndergaard to be frightened off this matchup and I have not been at all impressed by the bats of the Giants in the second of 2016. I think Syndergaard outduels Bumgarner tonight at both a lower cost and lower ownership, which should give us a leg up in GPPs. Marcus Stroman vs. Chris Tillman is a close call, but I think Stroman has more upside and is more likely to pitch deep into this game.
DON’T BE AFRAID TO LEAVE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SALARY ON THE TABLE. I can’t stress this enough on a 2-game slate where everyone is going to go the same way. It’s baseball, anything can happen, and if you try to make a lineup that uses every last dollar of your cap space you are going to have the same lineup as dozens of other people. Get creative tonight, and have fun, playoff baseball has arrived