FanDuel NFL Value Plays: Week 6
Let’s find some low-cost value plays at each position so you can mix/match your lineups to take down your tournaments this week. Value here are represented by $6,900 or less for quarterbacks, $6,500 or less for running backs/wide receivers, $5,500 or less on tight ends, $4,500 for kicker and $4,500 and lower for defenses.
Any questions, hit me up in the Comments Area or reach out to me on Twitter @JasonWalker_72.
Alex Smith – KC at OAK – $6,800 – Smith is a tremendous play here as the Raiders continue to bleed points to opposing QBs, second only to Atlanta in opposing QB points on FanDuel this season, per game. This season, the Chiefs have attempted the third most passes per game and are #1 in pass play percentage.
Brock Osweiler – HOU vs. IND – $6,900 – Osweiler hasn’t been great this season, but the Colts are the second worst pass defense in the league. Houston runs a lot when they are winning, but the matchups for DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller both trend positive and the 24.5 implied point total bodes well for Osweiler, especially at this salary level.
Ryan Mathews – PHL at WAS – $6,500 – Last call for Ryan Mathews. Washington’s run defense is so bad, the Ravens fired offensive coordinator Marc Trestman because he didn’t exploit in enough last week. Mathews will get first shot here, and had 16 touches last week, including five targets/catches. His status as starting running back may hinge on his success this week.
Giovani Bernard – CIN at NE – $5,700 – With teammate RB Jeremy Hill hurting this week with multiple injuries, it may be an increased workload for Bernard, who already stood to be majorly involved due to game script (the Patriots are a 8.5 point favorite) and that New England has been softer against the pass.
Matt Jones – WAS vs. PHL – $6,500 – The Eagles are a stingy defense, but Washington has the sixth best offensive line work so far in the league, according to Football Outsiders’ adjusted line yards metric. Jones has been getting considerable work, with an average of a little more than 16 carries per game over the last month.
DeAndre Washington – OAK vs. KC – $5,500 – Last week I featured Jalen Richard, and he’s still a good play as well, but the Chiefs are more vulnerable against the run, and Washington is the closer thing to a rusher than Richard. Washington and Richard split touches, but it’s Washington that should get the first shot at proving he’s the hotter hand, and given the Chiefs 24th ranked run defense, it should give Washington the edge this week.
Tavon Austin – LAR at DET – $5,700 – Austin won’t be confused with Antonio Brown, but he does lead the Rams with 45 targets this season and has a stellar matchup against the Lions, who are terrible defending the pass, but even more so the underneath routes and flat plays in which Austin thrives.
Michael Thomas – NO vs. CAR – $5,400 – Thomas has quietly had just one fewer target than more popular teammate WR Brandin Cooks has had this season and has a tremendous matchup against the Panthers, in whom Thomas faces a slightly positive matchup.
Cameron Meredith – CHI vs. JAX- $5,400 – Meredith stepped right into the WR2 spot that which Kevin White was seeing extensive targets and promptly got 12 of his own, converting nine of them for 130 yards and a touchdown. He’ll be hugely popular and gets a solid matchup against the Jaguars, who are 27th in the league in defending the WR2 position.
Brandon LaFell – CIN at NE – $5,300 – As stated with Gio Bernard, the Bengals will likely have to throw, and the Patriots have been surprisingly soft against the pass, ranking 20th against WR2, 27th overall and having the 29th best pass rush. With the game script tilting the Bengals towards the pass, LaFell, who has a positive matchup against CB Malcolm Butler and coming off an 11 target, eight catch outing against Dallas, is very much in play.
Dennis Pitta – BAL at NYG – $5,400 – The Giants are a mess defending the middle and if WR Steve Smith Sr. misses the game, that will leave the possession receiving to Pitta, who had eight targets and seven catches last week.
Gary Barnidge – CLE at TEN – $5,300 – Barnidge’s salary has continued to drop, but the Browns are likely to pass a lot this week, and Barnidge has seen eight and seven targets his last two weeks.
Jesse James – PIT at MIA – $5,400 – Miami ranks 27th against the tight end position and James was targeted eight times last week against the Jets, scoring once and tripling his value.
Kickers and Defense:
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts – $4,400 – No team has been sacked more than the Colts this season, and the Texans, favored and at home, could turn loose their seventh ranked pass rush on QB Andrew Luck and company for some big points this week.
Nick Novak – HOU vs. IND – $4,500 – Tagging onto that is that Novak is min priced and, given the Texans stalling out their offense in scoring position, is in line for some insurance field goals along the way.
Good luck! – Jason