FanDuel NFL Value Plays: Week 13
Let’s find some low-cost value plays at each position so you can mix/match your lineups to take down your tournaments this week. Value here are represented by $6,900 or less for quarterbacks, $6,500 or less for running backs/wide receivers, $5,500 or less on tight ends, $4,500 for kicker and $4,500 and lower for defenses.
We are looking at Sun-Mon slate only, so if you have any questions, hit me up in the Comments Area or reach out to me on Twitter @JasonWalkerDFS.
Matt Barkley – CHI vs. SF – $6,000 – Of the four quarterbacks who meet our threshold here, Barkley is the only one who is favored and he gets to play the high snap count 49ers. Barkley threw 54 passes last week so the staff is not overly concerned with his pass count and the 49ers are 24th against the pass this season.
Theo Riddick – DET at NO – $6,500 – Riddick dominates the activity out of the Lions backfield and the Saints are dead last in defending receiving running backs this season. The Lions, despite their underdogs status, are still forecasted to score 24 points, leaving Riddick a large share in scoring this week.
James Starks – GB vs. HOU – $5,800 – He’s not a great running back, but that volume, man. He is at home, the Packers are forecasted to score 26.3 points and are favored by seven. You want the undisputed RB on that team, and Starks, who got 54 of the 71 running back snaps and five of the seven targets out of the backfield, makes for an interesting punt play here.
Doug Martin – TB at SD – $6,500 – The Chargers are tough against the run, but Martin is locked in again as the RB1 here, getting 53 of the 67 snaps, leading to 23 carries. The game total is solid, too, with 47.5 points.
Devontae Booker – DEN at JAC – $6,400 – The Jaguars run defense is a conundrum. Their line is top ten against runners, but overall they are in the bottom ten of the league against the run. That sets Booker up well, since the Broncos have the ninth best run blocking offensive line and Booker is coming off of a 24-carry outing against the Chiefs, underlining Booker’s role as the RB1 in Denver.
Michael Crabtree – OAK vs. BUF – $6,400 – Crabtree is a precise route runner and easy target for QB Derek Carr, who targeted Crabtree on 13 passes in Week 12. This week, the Raiders are a three point favorite in a game total of 49, meaning the Raiders are expected to operate efficiently, which this season has meant plenty of Michael Crabtree.
Emmanuel Sanders – DEN at JAC – $6,400 – Sanders was targeted ten times last week and exploded for 162 yards and a score. He is second in targets inside the opponent’s ten yards line this season with 10. Sanders also has a positive matchup with Prince Amukamara this week as well.
Tyreek Hill – KC at ATL – $5,800 – The Chiefs are desperate to get the ball into the hands of Hill, even going so far as to reviving the Wildcat formation to get him a score last week. This week, the Chiefs will be playing catchup against the home team Falcons and Hill, who was targeted ten times last week, will be a primary vehicle for the Chiefs to score.
Golden Tate – DET at NO – $5,900 – Track meet game in New Orleans and Tate, who has 54 targets in his last six games, has the two-touchdown upside here to smash value.
Vernon Davis – WAS at ARI – $4,600 – Jordan Reed and his targets are likely out against Arizona, leaving Davis as a prime target for the huge passing game of Kirk Cousins. The game total is a super-strong 49.5, and the Redskins are only 2.5 underdogs.
Zach Ertz – PHI at CIN – $5,300 – The Bengals are 25th against the TE this season and Ertz has 32 targets the last four weeks. Add in the Eagles being slight underdogs and the passing game may uptick a little to get Ertz more targets.
Kickers and Defense:
Josh Lambo – SD vs. TB and the San Diego Defense – Stretching to $4,600 on kickers since there is no min priced kicker at home I liked, the Chargers are slated to scored 25.5 points and are 3.5 point favorites at home and the Bucs are 28th in turnovers per drive while the Chargers defense is second at creating turnovers per drive.
Good luck this week! – JW
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.