DraftKings NFL Bargain Plays: Week 5
Quarterback – Below $6,500
Carson Wentz – PHI at DET – $6,400
Carson Wentz and the Philadelphia Eagles have been one of the bigger surprises of the NFL season. The one of the biggest factors is he has yet to throw an interception. Up next, he has a plus matchup with the Detroit Lions. The Lions have already given up 1,130 yards and 12 touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks on the year. Wentz is on the high end of the value picks so you may have find cheaper options more palatable, but there shouldn’t be any worry in rostering the rookie quarterback.
Brian Hoyer – CHI at IND – $5,500
Chicago head coach John Fox has indicated that, even when healthy, Jay Cutler may not get the starting job back for the Bears. Brian Hoyer has performed well with a 69% completion percentage, four touchdowns and no interceptions so far this season. Now, he gets to take on the Indianapolis Colts and their non-existent secondary. The Colts rank 29th in DVOA through four weeks and just parted ways with Antonio Cromartie. Hoyer seems comfortable as the starting quarterback and should be worth your consideration this week.
Derek Anderson – CAR vs TB – $5,500
If Cam Newton can’t play, and that is a big if, Derek Anderson becomes an appealing punt at $5,500. Tampa Bay has yielded 1,081 yards and nine touchdowns to date. They have been much better against the tight end position to start the year, but I don’t think Greg Olsen will suffer too greatly from the matchup. Anderson makes for a good play this week at a position that has seen a few prices rise this week.
Trevor Siemian/Paxton Lynch – DEN vs ATL – $5,200
Trevor Siemian has a AC joint sprain in his non throwing shoulder. Playing on Sunday seems likely as of right now, but we will have to keep an eye on the injury report as the week rolls on. Either quarterback will have a plus match-up at a near minimum salary as they take on the Atlanta Falcons. While Matt Ryan and Julio Jones were putting up monstrous numbers, the Falcons defense still yielded 329 yards and three passing touchdowns to Carolina. They’ve allowed a completion percentage north 68% on the year and should open up some chances for Lynch or Siemian this weekend.
Running Back – Below $5,000
Isaiah Crowell – CLE vs NE – $4,800
All hail our current rushing leader in the NFL, Isaiah Crowell! Crowell put together a stellar performance against the Washington Redskins last week. While Crowell’s matchups and potential game scripts definitely need to be watched closely, has proven himself to be one of the most efficient backs going this year. New England has been a middle of the pack defensive team against the run to start the year, yielding 324 yards rushing and 186 yards receiving to running backs thus far. While the majority of the targets typically go to Duke Johnson, Crowell did see four targets last week. If that becomes a trend, his price tag will easily be paid off early on in this contest.
Terrence West – BAL vs WAS – $4,800
Justin Forsett is out of a job and Kenneth Dixon is still making his way all the way back form injury. Terrence West had a great showing in week 4, posting 113 yards and a score on 21 carries. While Dixon may push for time, West seems like the apparent lead back against a dreadful Redskins run defense. Washington has yielded seven rushing touchdowns and over 5.1 yards per attempt on the season. They rank dead last in DVOA against the run and should be open for business again this weekend.
Jerrick McKinnon – MINN vs HOU – $4,000
Since the Adrian Peterson injury, Jerrick McKinnon & Matt Asiata have failed to appear as value options in this column. It looks as though McKinnon has started to make better use of his opportunities. Asiata should still be a concern as a touchdown vulture, but this week’s matchup with Houston should make McKinnon a very good value play on DraftKings. While Houston’s defense has been pretty good, it’s struggled against the run, giving up 100 yards per game on average to start the year. They ranked 30th in FootballOutsiders DVOA for rushing and just lost another defensive end, Devon Still, to injury.
Wide Receiver – Below $5,000
Tyrell Williams/Dontrelle Inman – SD at OAK – $4,700/$4,4000
The San Diego Chargers matchup with the Oakland Raiders is as juicy as they come. The Raiders has given up over 850 yards receiving to wideouts this season. Overall, Oakland has yielded 1,331 yards through the air on the year. Melvin Gordon’s efficiency issues continue to be a concern, so Phillip Rivers may turn to his wideouts more and more. Tyrell Williams was a bit MIA to start the game last week, but still saw eight targets and caught five of them. Inman was used to stretch the field with seven receptions for 120 yards and a score. Both are in play this weekend.
Eddie Royal – CHI at IND – $4,200
Kevin White was placed on Injured Reserve on Wednesday. Eddie Royal stepped in after White went out in week four and put up seven receptions, 111 yards, and a score. Royal’s targets saw a nice bump with the injury, but he had seen a handful of targets in each of his previous three games. This week should be no different against the hapless Colts secondary. A Hoyer/Royal stack gives you a lot of room to make other, high priced additions to your lineups.
Robert Woods – BUF at LA – $3,900
With Sammy Watkins out, Buffalo will lean heavily on Robert Woods against a mediocre Los Angeles Rams pass defense. On the year, the Rams yield 12.28 yards per catch to the wide out position. Though their DVOA puts them as a top ten defense against the pass, they have struggled against WR1s on the year, dropping their ranking down to 21st. Woods wouldn’t be the first wideout to be plugged in, but his cost is cheap enough with the opportunities he should see.
Tight End – Below $4,000
Note: We’ve lowered our “value” moniker for tight end as so many players fell below our price point of $4,500 each week.
Martellus Bennett – NE at CLE- $3,700
Tom Brady is back. Rob Gronkowski continues to struggle with his injuries. It’s a no-brainer to consider Martellus Bennett in your lineups. Bennett has two one-hundred yard receiving games already this year and no faces the Cleveland Browns. The Browns have allowed a league leading 32 receptions to tight ends on the year and got torched by Jordan Reed in week four.
Zach Ertz – PHI at DET – $3,500
Zach Ertz has been cleared to play and will get a great matchup in week five. Ertz saw seven targets in week one and should slide right back into the pass catching duties at tight end here in week five. The Detroit Lions 29th in DVOA against the tight end position and have given up 24 receptions, 257 yards, and six touchdowns so far to tight ends.
Cameron Brate – TB at CAR – $2,900
Carolina’s defense has struggled. We need to go no further than the whooping the Atlanta Falcons laid at their feet last week. On the season, Carolina given up 18 receptions, 254 yards and four touchdowns. Brate has seen a steady stream of targets and this week should be no different. If you are playing in contests that have Monday Night Football, he may be a decent pivot off of Sunday plays.
Defense/Special Teams – Below $3,300
Bills – BUF at LAR – $3,100
The Bills have been a middle of the round defense to start the year. They rank 15th and 14th in pass and rush DVOA respectively on the year. This is much more about targeting the Los Angeles Rams who have one of the worst offenses in the NFL. For DVOA, they sit 30th in pass and 29th in rush rankings on the season.