DraftKings NFL Bargain Plays – Week 3
The injuries that plagued big names in Week 2 along with lots of great matchups this weekend have given us lots of value picks for Week 3- let’s get into some of those here.
Quarterback – Below $6,500
Ryan Tannehill – MIA vs CLE – $6,200
Ryan Tannehill comes off a great second half performance against the New England Patriots defense last week. The Miami quarterback finished as QB3 on DraftKings and did not appear on last week’s DraftKings Value picks. Atonement thigh name is the Cleveland Browns defense. Through two weeks, the Browns rank 22nd in defensive DVOA according to FootballOutsiders.com. Jarvis Landry and DeVante Parker seem to be finding themselves here in 2016. With Miami favored big here, the upside may be a bit capped, but Tannehill should more than cover his price tag.
Marcus Mariota – TEN v OAK – $5,900
The Oakland Raiders defense has given up 808 yards passing already this season. That equates to over 100 yards per quarter through the air. Marcus Mariota has had a consistent start to the season and looks primed to break out in his week three matchup. Matty Ryan lit the up for nearly 400 yards last week and Mariota should have little problem getting his timing with Tajae Sharpe and Delanie Walker.
Dak Prescott – DAL vs CHI – $5,700
Dak Prescott has yet to throw for a touchdown this season but has shown flashes of what we saw in the preseason this year in his first two starts. In week two’s contest against Washington, Prescott ran for a touchdown and finally seemed to realize Dez Bryant was on his team, targeting the star wideout 12 times. Chicago’s defense allows for plenty over the middle, which should allow for a measured attack from the Cowboys.
Running Back – Below $5,000
Isaiah Crowell – CLE at MIA – $4,700
Miami has been solid enough against the run to start the year but did get big dose of Legarrette Blount in the second half of their game last week. Blount finished as RB8 on DraftKings. Cleveland comes into this contest with their fifth starting quarterback in five games dating back to last season. Cody Kessler takes the reigns for the Browns and will have to rely heavily on all of his assets to help him along. Crowell has looked the part of a lead NFL back in the first two weeks of the season. He finished as RB3 week two against a formidable Ravens defense that FootballOutsiders.com has ranked 4th in rushing DVOA through two games this year. Crowell may not be the flashiest of names heading into this slate, but should see ample opportunities to succeed.
Tevin Coleman – ATL at NO – $4,600
If ever there was a contest where Tevin Coleman and Devonta Freeman could be paired together this feels like it. (This is not a recommendation to do that). Coleman finished week two as RB14 on DraftKings and not gets to play in what should be a shootout with the New Orleans Saints. Both of the secondaries in this game should be pushed with the total of the game currently sitting at 53.5. Coleman has seen plenty of targets and carries to start the year and this game should be no different.
Wide Receiver – Below $5,000
DeVante Parker – MIA vs CLE – $4,900
The Miami Dolphins and fantasy owners have been waiting for DeVante Parker to be fully healthy and able to chase his immense upside. While it seems Parker may still be pushing through some of his injuries, week two’s game against New England had Parker’s full array of skills on display. He saw 13 targets from Ryan Tannehill, tied with Jarvis Landry for the most on the day for the Phins. He hauled eight of those passes for 106 yards and looks very comfortable in Miami’s offense. As discussed earlier, the matchup is a prime one for the Dolphins to put up some big offensive totals, you just have to hope the Browns can keep it close for long enough.
Tyrell Williams – SD at IND – $4,300
The San Diego Chargers offense keeps losing players, but have not missed a beat. Philip Rivers & Travis Benjamin slid out of value territory this week, but left behind Tyrell Williams. Williams finished as WR30 in a crowded field of wideouts this past week. With an upcoming matchup with the Colts, the secondary of which has been documented here each week, places Williams right back in the mix. He had six targets with three catches for 61 yards and a score this past week and should have ample opportunities against the Colts defense that ranks barely head of Oakland in defensive DVOA on the year.
Kenny Britt – LA at TB – $3,900
For all the trouble Kenny Britt has seen in his NFL career, it seems as though he’s found himself a home with the Rams. Over his first two contests, Britt has been targeted 16 times and caught the ball 50% of the time. The Los Angeles offense has still yet to score a touchdown, but no matter who the quarterback is, you have to like the chances of getting into the endzone against Tampa Bay.
Rishard Matthews – TENN vs OAK – $3,300
Rishard Matthews was the prized free agent signing for the Tennessee Titans. He was brought in to stretch the field and help Marcus Mariota’s growth. The preseason saw Dorial Green-Beckham traded away but Matthews has yet to produce to expectations. Tajae Sharpe has stepped forward as the number one receiver and somehow Andre Johnson is seeing meaningful snaps
Though it hasn’t all been positive for Matthews, last week was a big step. He saw 6 targets, which tied him for second on the team, and brought in four receptions. As discussed earlier, Oakland’s pass defense is right now ranked as the league’s worst. It shouldn’t take much for Matthew’s to return on his dirt cheap price and the Titans should have ample opportunities to spread the ball around.
Tight End – Below $4,500
Jesse James – PITT at PHI – $3,500
Jesse James has yet to appear in the DK Value write up. This week it’s rectified. As you seen from the below tweet from FanVice guest Adam Levitan, James has been heavily involved in the Pittsburgh pass game. This matchup with Philadelphia should see similar results for the youngster out of Penn State. Opportunity is our key driver with cheaper players and James has seen plenty of it.
Through two weeks, Steelers TE Jesse James has been in on 98.6% of the snaps. Third on team in total targets (12), leads in RZ targets (3).
— Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) September 20, 2016
Dennis Pitta – BAL at JAX – $3,400
Finally healthy, Dennis Pitta stepped back into the spotlight against the Cleveland Browns last week. Pitta saw 12 targets and hauled in nine receptions for 102 yards receiving. This week Baltimore gets the Jaguars defense that could not hang with the Chargers air attack, even without Keenan Allen or Danny Woodhead. Pitta seems like the consistent target for Joe Flacco and should remain a part of your plans throughout the weekend.
Jared Cook – GB vs DET – $2,900
Cue up Admiral Ackbar, because here we are again. Jared Cook in a great spot against a team that doesn’t seem to know how to defend the tight end position. Cook was a major disappointment in week one but saw an uptick in targets to six in game two last week. Detroit currently ranks 24th against the pass according to DVOA and just got lit up by Delanie Walker last week. Cook may very well end up being a trap, but at 2.9k, it is one worth taking a shot on.
Trey Burton – PHI vs PITT – $2,500
With Zach Ertz sidelined, Trey Burton stepped into the pass catching role at tight end. It’s easy to worry about snap counts here with Brent Celek drawing the start and majority of snaps, but Burton was in there when it mattered with seven targets, five receptions and a touchdown. It won’t take much for him to return on that low investment.
Defense/Special Teams – Below $3,300
Dolphins – MIA vs CLE – $3,000
Miami didn’t show much on defense against the New England Patriots, but they draw an extremely favorable matchup with rookie Cody Kessler this weekend. The game sits at a 41.5 total with Miami favored at -10.5.