DraftKings NFL Bargain Plays – Week 14
Finding value plays is key every week to help get some of those high priced studs into your lineups- let’s take a look at some options at each position.
Quarterback – below $6,500
Kirk Cousins – WAS at PHI – $6,300
This may seem like a mediocre or bad matchup for Kirk Cousins, but we need to dive into this Philadelphia Eagles defense a little further. Last week, Andy Dalton threw for for 332 yards and two touchdowns. This is without AJ Green in the game. While the Eagles rank well on defense, the past few weeks have shown them to be less than stellar. Cousins has been playing extremely well and has posted at least 18 points or more each week dating back to week six of the season.
Andy Dalton – CIN at CLE – $6,100
It isn’t one we necessarily have to overthink, but Andy Dalton is facing the Cleveland Browns who rank last in almost every imaginable stat on defense. Dalton doesn’t have his best playmaker in AJ Green nor does he have Gio Bernard, but it should be enough to hit value. This could be a game that the Bengals lean heavily on Jeremy Hill, so it’s not that Dalton is a slam dunk to far exceed value.
Eli Manning – NYG vs DAL – $5,50
If it feels like Eli Manning has been wildly inconsistent this season, it’s because he has been wildly inconsistent this year. Great quarterbacks do not see many single digit fantasy performances in their career. Manning has two this season. With that said though, Manning has a very solid matchup in a divisional game against the Dallas Cowboys. The game currently sits at a 47.5 over/under with the Giants at plus-3.5. The Cowboys pass defense has been suspect all year but with defensive back Mo Claiborne out, it has struggled even more. Dallas ranks 27th overall in defensive DVOA on the year. Manning may not have the floor other quarterbacks have this week, but he does have a fairly high ceiling if he and Odell Beckham, JR can connect.
Running Back – below $5,000
Frank Gore – IND vs HOU – $4,800
Is there a more boring fantasy football running back than Frank Gore? No. No, there isn’t. But here we are. Houston ranks 17th overall in defensive DVOA against the run. Gore is not someone who will be overly impressive, but is consistent in what he does. Against a Houston defense that has struggled against the run and backs catching the ball out of the backfield, Gore could be in line for of his typical mid-teens point output. As a side note, Gore is eighth all time in rushing yards. Let that sink in.
Kenneth Dixon – BAL vs NE – $3,800
While the Kenneth Dixon play didn’t pan out entirely last week, he did continue to see a fairly even split in touches with Terrance West. In his six carries, he gained 56 yards while also hauling in all four of his targets. The Patriots defense has been fairly stout against the run this season, but Dixon’s ability to catch the ball out of the backfield should be utilized by the Ravens this week.
Wide Receiver – below $5,000
Tyler Boyd – CIN vs CLE – $4,900
With AJ Green out for the season, the targets have to go to somewhere. Over his last three games, Tyler Boyd has 23 targets with 15 receptions. This week, Boyd gets the great matchup with the Cleveland Browns. Boyd & Brandon LaFell should both see plenty of opportunities against this awful Browns defense.
Adam Thielen – MIN at JAX – $4,700
Over the past two games, Adam Thielen has seen 20 targets and brought in 15 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars are 10th in passing DVOA but diving deeper shows they’ve struggled against the top two targets of opposing offenses. Thielen should see plenty of targets and have an opportunity to produce.
Corey Coleman – CLE vs CIN – $4,400
The Browns & Bengals contest sits at only a 42.5 over/under but the Bengals defense has struggled at times this year against WR2. Corey Coleman gets the boost of Robert Griffin III returning under center for the Browns. His big play ability make him an interesting option on the other side of any Cincinatti teams you may be rolling out this weekend.
Robby Anderson – NYJ at SF – $3,000
We often hear the narrative that when a backup quarterback takes over, you should look to practice squad or back up receivers as their primary targets. Often, this doesn’t pan out but through three quarters of football, it looks like Bryce Petty enjoys targeting Robby Anderson. Anderson, who was the darling of DFS in the pre-season, saw 12 targets and was able to haul in four of them with a touchdown. While there is an obvious lack of efficiency in those targets, it’s a gigantic number for a minimum salary receiver. The San Francisco 49ers are one of the worst defensive teams in the league and if Anderson sees just half as many targets, he should be in for a good game.
Tight End – below $4,000
Eric Ebron – DET at CHI – $3,800
The Chicago Bears defense is one that continually attempts to funnel receivers to the middle of the field. As a practice that helps to eliminate big plays, but with all of the injuries Chicago has faced on defense, it’s left some big holes in their coverage packages. Eric Ebron has seen plenty of targets from Matthew Stafford all year and should be in line for a good workout in this matchup. The Bears sit 25th in passing DVOA against tight ends on the year and may not be able to stop Ebron over the middle.
Jason Witten – DAL at NYG – $3,100
The original dad runner has some major upside appeal in his matchup with the Giants this weekend. Jason Witten saw his 130 straight games with a reception streak snapped last week, but should start a new one this Sunday with ease. The Giants rank 27th against tight ends according to DVOA. This contest currently has 47.5 point over/under and Witten could make an interesting trio with Eli Manning and Odell Beckham Jr.
Defense/Special Teams – below $3,400
Panthers – SD at CAR – $2,900
When targeting cheaper defenses, you want turnover upside. While the Carolina Panthers defense has clearly struggled on the year, they are tied for 10th in takeaways on the season. The San Diego Chargers are tied for first in giveaways on the year. So, Philip Rivers and crew may have a good offensive day but still cough the ball up a few times.
Dolphins – MIA vs ARI – $2,600
In trying to find a cheap defense with a bit of upside, we can continue to target the Arizona Cardinals offense. Carson Palmer has had a rough season with turnovers. The Cardinals, overall, are a middle of the pack team in the NFL when it comes to giveaways. The Dolphins are also a middle of the pack team in takeaways.