DraftKings NFL Bargain Plays – Week 13
Finding value plays is key every week to help get some of those high priced studs into your lineups- let’s take a look at some options at each position.
Quarterback – below $6,500
Jameis Winston – TB at SD – $6,200
Jameis Winston is in a fine spot taking on the San Diego Chargers this weekend. Winston has been consistent all season, posting just one single digit game through 12 weeks. He’s thrown for 22 touchdowns and has been picked off 11 times this year. This week, he gets a Chargers defense that has been good this year but doesn’t boast a high sack rate. The game total currently sits at 47.5 with the Chargers favored by -3.5. We should see plenty of Winston to Mike Evans and Cameron Brate.
Colin Kaepernick – SF at ATL – $6,100
Touting Colin Kaepernick has become the new thing in fantasy football over the past couple of weeks. It feels a bit like when your favorite band from college was discovered by the mainstream radio. At first it was pretty cool, but then you thought you’d lost something special. Kaepernick has outperformed expectations, even as San Francisco continues to struggle. This week, he gets a matchup with the Atlanta Falcons who have struggled against the pass and the rush this season. At $6,100 Kaepernick is starting to enter a price point where you feel a bit uneasy rostering him, but this matchup should be one where the 49ers quarterback shines again.
Tyrod Taylor – BUF at OAK – $5,700
We wait on Sammy Watkins news. While Tyrod Taylor was very solid without Watkins, his presence and health will obviously change how we view Taylor. Overall, Taylor has been very consistent this season and provided a fairly reliable floor throughout the year. Oakland ranks 27th in passing DVOA. They do rank sixth in rushing DVOA, but don’t be surprised if the Bills rely heavily on Taylor and LeSean McCoy on the ground.
Running Back – below $5,000
Darren Sproles – PHI at CIN – $4,400
While Darren Sproles doesn’t have the highest of upsides, at $4,400 he should give us a solid enough floor to be in play this weekend. Sproles has seen seven or more targets in four of his last five games. While Wendell Smallwood has been getting more of the carries, Sproles should be a part of the offense against the Bengals. They rank 18th in DVOA against pass catching running backs on the year.
Kenneth Dixon – BAL vs MIA – $3,700
While Kenneth Dixon seems to be in a fairly even carries split with Terrence West, he’s the one on the rise in the Baltimore backfield. Last week, Dixon saw 13 carries, up from six the week before, and four targets. The Miami defense has been fairly solid against the pass catching running backs, but hasn’t been spectacular against the run overall. If trends continue, and Dixon continues to gain touches, this could be a break out week.
Wide Receiver – below $5,000
Tyreek Hill – KC at ATL – $4,600
Well, here we are. Tyreek Hill has fully burst onto the scene with his latest jack of all trades outing. He scored a td as a receiver, a rusher, and a return man. That’s impressive. This week, he gets a matchup with a subpar Atlanta defense. Hill has benefited from Jeremy Maclin being out and from short, quick passes when split out wide.
Taylor Gabriel – ATL vs KC – $4,000
It’s time to jump on the bandwagon. Taylor Gabriel has proven to be a great option for Matt Ryan over the past few weeks. He’s provided a big play option when Julio Jones is covered. Mohammed Sanu continues to be a good option, but Gabriel is cheaper and providing more upside. Kansas City has a middle of the pack pass defense and this contest currently has a 49 over/under on it with the Falcons favored by -4.5.
Marquess Wilson – CHI at SF – $4,000
If Matt Barkley is going to throw the ball 50 times, it’s tough to stay away from Marquess Wilson this week. San Francisco has been one of the worst defenses this season and will struggle to stop any offense the rest of the way. Wilson had 11 targets last week and hauled in eight receptions. While Cameron Meredith and Eddie Royal exist in the same space, Wilson’s performance from week 12 is a good indicator of potential moving forward.
Malcolm Mitchell – NE vs LA – $3,600
With the news Rob Gronkowski out, there can be any number of ways Tom Brady and the Patriots offense goes moving forward. The cheapest option is Malcolm Mitchell and his recent performance should give us enough to go on. He has three touchdowns in the past two weeks and has seen 12 targets over the past two weeks.
Tight End – below $4,000
CJ Fiederowicz – HOU at GB – $3,800
On the year, Green Bay has been pretty solid against tight ends. CJ Fiederowicz isn’t necessarily in a great spot here, but has seen such consistent targets all year long that he is a fairly safe bet at a low enough price point at the position.
Ladarius Green – PIT vs NYG – $2,800
Ladarius Green appears to finally be healthy. Last week, he saw three targets and managed to haul two of them in for 67 yards. The Giants have been better against the tight end position this year than last but have shown some of their old traits at times this season. This gigantic over/under, coupled with the Steelers at home, make this feel like a great spot for Green as exposure to this contest without the price of Le’Veon Bell or Antonio Brown.
Defense/Special Teams – below $3,400
Redskins- WAS at ARI – $2,400
On the year, Washington is a top ten defense in sacks. They currently sit tied for seventh with 28 on the season. Arizona has allowed the third most sacks on the season at 33. While the Cardinals have the ability to put up points, this near minimum price tag, with a team that has high upside for sacks and potential for turnovers from Carson Palmer, has Washington firmly in play.