DraftKings NFL Bargain Plays – Week 11
Quarterback – below $6,500
Kirk Cousins – WAS vs GB – $5,800
Kirk Cousins is coming off a very solid but yet not spectacular outing last week against the Minnesota Vikings. Cousins has had a fairly consistent season, posting double digit DraftKings points each week this season. This week, Cousins gets a Green Bay defense that has given up 270+ pass yards each of the last three weeks. The Packers defense ranks 18th in pass defense in DVOA.
Tyrod Taylor – BUF at CIN – $5,600
Coming off a bye week, Tyrod Taylor gets a very solid matchup with a weak Cincinnati defense. Taylor has proven he can provide a very solid floor throughout this year and had a great game against a very strong Seattle defense before his bye. The Bengals ranked 20th in both rush and pass DVOA on the year.
Cody Kessler – CLE vs PIT – $5,000
Cody Kessler may be the ultimate value play this week. At minimum salary, Kessler gets a plus matchup with the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers defense ranks 21st on the year in pass DVOA and has struggled at times this season. The over/under on this game has fallen, but so too has the spread. Kessler & Terrell Pryor make for a very solid pairing this week. If you want to throw in Antonio Brown on the other side, you may have a very intriguing beginning to a game stack.
Running Back – below $5,000
Rob Kelly – WAS vs GB – $4,400
Rob Kelly is the main back in a fairly unattractive backfield. Washington has struggled with their run game this year and Green Bay, by the numbers, has been one of the better run defenses on the year. So, why in the world are we talking about him here. First and foremost, it seems as though this Green Bay defense isn’t all that great against the run. They’ve faced a long list of awful run offenses on the year. The one great run team they faced, Tennessee, gashed them in all facets. On a week devoid of value at the position, Kelly’s last two games may be just enough to be worth while at this price point.
James Starks – GB at WAS – $4,200
It shouldn’t sit too well with James Starks that the Green Bay Packers went out and signed Christine Michael. Michael could prove to be a valuable piece, if Green Bay can solve some of their other challenges to get into the playoffs. All season long, the matchup with Washington has been a major plus for any running back. Again, with the state of value at running back, we are grasping at straws a bit here, but the matchup is a good one for any running back. Now, the Packers just have to get him the ball.
Wide Receiver – below $5,000
Robert Woods – BUF at CIN – $4,900
Robert Woods caught ten of 13 targets against a very tough Seattle defense in his last game. Though he is questionable at this time, there are no indications that he could miss this Sunday’s game. He gets a matchup with the Bengals and a defense that ranks 20th overall in pass DVOA. While Sammy Watkins may be back in the near future, this may be one of the last times to roster Woods in a prime spot.
Tyreek Hill – KC vs TB – $4,500
Early indications are that Jeremy Maclin will not play this Sunday. Last week, Tyreek Hill saw 13 targets and hauled in ten of them en route to a 89 yard outing. Hill has shown the ability to stretch the field and make plays. This week’s matchup is a good one against a Tampa Bay defense that ranks 15th against the pass according to DVOA and has yielded the 11th most receiving yards on the season. With Maclin out, you should expect the volume to remain about the same for Hill.
Cameron Meredith/Eddie Royal – CHI at NYG – $4,100/$3,400
Oh, Alshon. What have you done? With Alshon Jeffery being pinched for a four game suspension, the Bears will have to look elsewhere at wide receiver this week. Cameron Meredith and Eddie Royal both have their upsides and downsides but they both face a better than expected Giants secondary this week. These are both price point plays more than top value plays as we shouldn’t expect Jay Cutler to have a great week.
Tight End – below $4,000
Dennis Pitta – BAL at DAL – $3,600
The Dallas defense has struggled against the pass, and more accurately, against the tight end position throughout the season. On the year, Dallas sits at 25th in pass DVOA and 30th in pass DVOA against the tight end position. Like most tight ends, Pitta’s highest upside is touchdown dependent, but it does look like a good week to take a chance on the Ravens tight end.
CJ Fiedorowicz – HOU at OAK – $3,300 (MNF)
First and foremost, how in the world is Houston six and three? The offense hasn’t had much to celebrate this year, but CJ Fiedorowicz has done his best to make himself known. He has seen consistent targets throughout the year. His price tag has risen a bit but it is still firmly in a value spot in a plus passing matchup with Oakland. The Raiders are a middle of the pack defense against tight ends.
Ladarius Green – PIT at CLE – $2,500
It has been a season of rostering anyone we can against the Cleveland Browns. Their defense is just that terrible. The Pittsburgh Steelers have enormous upside heading into this matchup but finding value in their lineup is often difficult. Eli Rogers may be on some folks value plays, as well as Jesse James, but here we find Ladarius Green. Green is the absolute minimum on DraftKings at 2.5k but offers a ton of upside. The Browns are dead last against tight ends and Green should see more targets than he did last week.
Defense/Special Teams – below $3,400
Cardinals – ARI at MIN – $3,100
Over the past four weeks, the Minnesota Vikings have not scored more than 26 points and have only eclipsed 30 points once this season. Arizona ranks third in pass DVOA and shouldn’t face too much pressure from a very poor Vikings rushing attack. Sam Bradford has three interceptions in his last four games and could pick up a couple more in this matchup.