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Now back to the amazing racing content from Pearce
Enough of the charade. Restrictor plate fantasy NASCAR pick articles aren’t real. It’s fake news. Please, find me the daily fantasy NASCAR article that picked the optimal lineup for the Daytona 500: Ryan Blaney, A.J. Allmendinger. Paul Menard, Michael Waltrip, Brendan Gaughan, and Kasey Kahne. Were any even close? Did that writer tell you to feel totally comfortable about only spending $40,000 of your $50,000 salary. You know who was close? Me. I didn’t pick those guys, but I said to just pick drivers in the back.
No one knows who will wreck and who won’t. All we know is that no matter what, start drivers in the back. Don’t worry about their name, their number, their team, or their track history. Blindly, biasedly, and uncompromisingly only pick drivers starting in the back, and maybe pick one lap leader.
There’s your picks for the week. Look at the spreadsheet or don’t. It sort of matters; you need to know the starting positions. This week, I’m not making picks. I’m breaking down the optimal lineups at the last handful of plate races to prove a point: Only pick drivers starting in the back.
Dig into the statistics and find the best plays for this weekend’s NASCAR event with the Daily Fantasy NASCAR Spreadsheet:
Fantasy NASCAR Optimal Lineups at Restrictor Plate Race Tracks
Daytona 500 (February 2017)
Every driver was priced below $8,000 and every driver started 26th or worse. The optimal lineup had $10,000 in unspent salary. That’s not a typo. $10,000 left over. If the plate race is chaotic, then the drivers starting in the back score the most fantasy points.
Daytona (July 2016)
Keselowski started 5th and led 115 of the 200 laps. McDowell, Bowyer, Whitt, and Ragan started 31st or worse. Bayne started 13th, so he’s not helping the cause.
Talladega (May 2017)
This lineup left $2,600 on the table. Kyle Busch started 10th and led 48 laps. The rest started between 19th and 30th. That’s not the back-back, but this was a relatively tame Talladega race. If you expect crazy, then go with the back-back.
Talladega (October 2016)
This lineup left $2,100 on the table. Logano led 45 laps. The rest of the drivers started 25th, 32nd, 24th, 26th, and 22nd.
You can dive into the spreadsheet and look at the other races, but usually, the top 6 scores will fit in your lineup. You’ll have to make two decisions this weekend. Do you picks drivers starting in the back-back (30s) or just the back (20s)? Do you roster the lap leader?
I am a promoter at FanVice and am also a user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of FanVice and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.