Boom Fantasy Thursday Night Slate – Week 1, September 7th

NFL is back!!! We have all been waiting a long time to watch some REAL PROFESSIONAL football and it is finally here, with a Thursday night game kicking off the season. For DraftKings and FanDuel you have Thursday-Sunday slates which are worth playing, but BOOM Fantasy’s format allows you to just play the Thursday game by itself which is fun and allows for same day payouts.

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Most of you know me as a FanVice PGA analyst, but in addition to that I dabble in the higher stakes NFL DFS world as well as play a lot of NBA volume, in addition to some college football and basketball wagering.  Yikes, who has time for sleep with all of this action!?!? This has allowed me to carve out a nice non-traditional way to make a living.  The other thing I have learned is that we need to look for that mysterious “edge” where we can find it which will help tip the scales in our favor.

Being a New York resident, I didn’t know much about BOOM Fantasy since I could only register for games when I was travelling outside of the state.  However, they just received approval from the New York State Legislature so I decided to check them out. Essentially, the contests are a series of “proposition-like” questions and as you select your answers, that forms your lineups.

This is a very unique style of gaming and runs counter choosing players within a salary cap and position requirement format like we are used to. This is where we should be able to find some advantages that the more casual players may overlook.  We will begin this journey together!

BOOM Fantasy has the same type of contest familiar contest formats whether its multi-entry GPPs or H2Hs where you are taking on one opponent.

Here is a sample question from the Thursday opening night slate:

Basically, we are choosing between the two listed QBs to predict which one will throw the most TDs. At first glance, it seems obvious to just pick Brady and move on, but if you look closely you see that Alex Smith gets 7,400 points if you are right while Brady only gets you 3,600. That is the risk reward aspect that the site offers, do you go safety with the obvious choices or take a shot for the big points and lower ownership?  As an added wrinkle, which creates more decision points, each quarterback will be awarded an additional 3,000 points for each touchdown pass.

Similar to DraftKings you want to structure your teams based off the types of tournies you are playing as well as making sure the lineups correlate. Following these guidelines, I would not pick Brady to have the most TDs and James White to have the most Rushing yards while also picking Stephen Gostkowski to have a lot of field goals. Even though we know that the Patriots are capable of reach the 50 point plateau, the most likely scenario is that if Brady is throwing a bunch of touchdowns they will not have many field goal opportunities and vice versa.

 

Here is a quick breakdown of how I am approaching some of the questions for this Thursday night slate:

Question 1 – Most TDs: Tom Brady or Alex Smith – Losing Julian Edelman will definitely hurt Brady, but he still seems like the obvious pick here. Chiefs will probably be playing from behind, but as we know Coach Andy Reid can be quite conservative and usually will not attempt to put up huge numbers on the scoreboard.

While his hand could be forced by future Hall of Fame Coach Bill Belichick, it would not be that surprising if the Chiefs spend most of the game figuring out how they will move on for the remainder of the season without RB Spencer Ware and may not worry about having Alex Smith attempt to turn into a gunslinger.  For the record, Alex Smith has thrown for more than three touchdowns once in 143 career games, back in Week 15 of the 2013 season when he went for five against the Oakland Raiders and he has six career 300+ passing yard efforts and 13 games with three aerial touchdowns.  He could still top Brady, if the Patriots are up big early and are just content to grind out the clock, but it would be a stretch.

Question 2 – Most Rushing Yards: Spencer Ware, Dion Lewis, James White, Charcandrick West – Ware is hurt, so he is out and that should make West an interesting target with a big bonus if you get it right and they give him the lions share. Once again, the Patriots are always mysterious which adds to the unknown, but you have to assume they will be ahead and try to just keep the clock running. Reminder: each player will also receive 100 points per rushing yard.

Question 3 – Most Receiving Yards: Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce, Julian Edelman, Tyreek Hill – Edelman out for year so do not take him, and that gives Gronk a nice bump. Tyreek Hill is the boom or bust option, so if you are running a bunch of teams I do not mind taking a few stabs with Hill and hope he breaks a long one. Reminder: each player will also receive 100 points per receiving yard.

Question 4 – Most Receptions: Chris Hogan, Chris Conley, DeAnthony Thomas, Danny Amendola – Probably targeting one of the Patriots here makes the most sense, as they will have to give Edelman’s targets to someone and like to throw a lot of short quick passes. Keep an eye on Amendola’s potential usage because it will be a big difference if he is in a limited role or if the Pats will try and slide him directly into Edelman’s role as he will of course be the clear favorite for me if that the case. Reminder: each player will also receive 1,000 points per reception.

Question 5 – Most TDs: Spencer Ware, Rob Gronkowski, Travice Kelce, James White – Ware is out so down to three. Gronk and Kelce both red zone targets and are pretty equal in terms of the bonus points you receive if you are correct. Correlate this to the QB question as Brady to Gronk or Smith to Kelce both are nice combos to have. Reminder: each player will also receive 6,000 points per reception.

Question 6 – Most Field Goals Made vs Total Bases Stephen Gostkowski (FG), Cairo Santos (FG), Jose Pirela (TB), Tommy Pham (TB) – This cross-sport questions brings a second game into play with the San Diego Padres hosting the St Louis Cardinals.  Keep an eye on whomever is in the lineup and also the pitchers, but the sneaky play would be to look to Tommy Pham going against LHP Clayton Richard with Pham boasting a .390 wOBA and a .259 ISO against southpaws this season and one home run equals FOUR field goals.  Reminder: each player will also receive 2,500 points per made field goal/total base.

Question 7 – How many passing yards will the Patriots’ Tom Brady have on Thursday? – Here is where the points can really swing, with 30,000 awarded to those within 10 passing yards, 20,000 awarded to those within 25 passing yards and 10,000 awarded to those within 50 passing yards.

Question 8 – How many receiving yards will the Patriots’ Brandin Cooks have on Thursday? – It will be interesting to see how the Pats work in their most recent receiving acquisition, but one would expect a couple deep balls going his way in order to allow Brady and Belichick to see their new option in action. This is another leverage spot with 30,000 awarded to those within 3 receiving yards, 20,000 awarded to those within 10 receiving yards and 10,000 awarded to those within 20 receiving yards.

Again, while I have not played a ton at BOOM Fantasy being a resident of New York, I had to dip across the state line to register for contests prior to the legislative approval, so I am looking forward to seeing how people choose to construct their teams and to see what type of scores typically take down GPPs. It will be a different mindset from DraftKings and FanDuel, but the site is clearly growing with New York players now allowed to play and decent sized GPPs already up and running.

Let’s start the NFL season right with a dominating BOOM Fantasy showing by FanVice and then carry that over to DraftKings, FantasyDraft and FanDuel this weekend.

I will be doing some other NFL content this year and still plan on crushing Golf year round, but if you have any questions, you know where to find me in the FanVice Premium slack chat or on Twitter @JazzrazDFS